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Is Your Profitable Business Quietly Bleeding Cash

By Robb Thomas Former Arthur Andersen Bankruptcy/ Turnaround Consultant LinkedIn

Many business owners are running profitable companies that are quietly bleeding cash.

Revenue is coming in, payroll is covered, and by most measures’ things look fine. But when you move past the P&L and look at the actual cash picture, a different reality often emerges. Revenue and cash are not the same thing. And the gap between them is where businesses can get into trouble, often without seeing it coming.

Here are five questions business owners should be asking, even if they believe their business is doing well.

1. Do you know your cash buffer in days, not months?

"We have a few months of runway" is not a cash position. It is a feeling.

Knowing your actual number of days of operating cash on hand is what may separate owners who see a problem coming from those who discover it during payroll. Most business owners think about cash in monthly buckets, revenue this month, expenses this month. But cash problems tend to happen in days, not months. A large payroll run, a vendor payment that hits early, or a client who stretches payment by two weeks can create a shortfall inside a month that looked fine on paper.

A profitable business can still run short on cash, especially when revenue is growing, because growth often consumes cash before it produces it. The right question is not "did we make money this month?" It is "when does the money actually land in the account?"

One practical shift is to define a minimum cash floor, a number below which you will not let the account drop and then manage toward that floor. Businesses that do this tend to collect faster, spend more carefully, and use their credit lines before they need them rather than after.

2. Are your payment terms a cash flow strategy, or just a habit?

Most owners set their payment terms once and never revisit them.

Net-30 became the default when money was cheap and borrowing costs were low. That is not the environment most small businesses are operating in today. Carrying a 30-day receivables gap, whether funded through a line of credit, a credit card, or delayed vendor payments, has a real cost that often goes uncalculated.

One option worth considering is an early payment incentive. Offering a small discount for early payment, say 1% off for payment within 10 days, can cost less than the float you are funding. It may also help identify your most financially stable clients, since the ones who pay early tend to be managing their own cash well.

The bigger opportunity, though, is usually on the front end. Restructuring billing arrangements with new clients, before terms are set, is far easier than renegotiating with existing ones. Partial payment at signing, milestone-based billing, and shorter payment windows are all worth building into new agreements from the start.

3. Have you thought about the tariffs as a cash flow problem, not just a cost problem?

This one catches a lot of service business owners off guard.

Even if you do not import anything directly, your subcontractors, vendors, and suppliers may. When their costs go up, those increases can eventually show up on your invoice, sometimes without much warning.

For businesses that do import goods, the cash timing problem can be worse than the cost itself. Tariff payments are due to U.S. Customs before goods are released. Then factor in transit time, receiving, and customer payment terms that may run 30 to 60 days. By the time cash comes back in, the original outlay could be 60 to 120 days old. That does not show up in your profit numbers, but it does show up in your bank account.

Many businesses have absorbed tariff cost increases rather than passing them on, particularly when they rely on a single supplier and do not have good alternatives. When that happens, the impact tends not to show up as a clear line item. It shows up as margins that are a little narrower and a bank balance that feels a little tighter, without an obvious explanation.

Beyond pricing, it may be worth looking at whether there are supply chain changes that reduce the exposure itself. Alternative sourcing, domestic substitutes, renegotiated supplier payment terms, or lower inventory levels can all reduce the amount of cash tied up at any one time. These are cash flow decisions, not just pricing decisions.

4. Is your cash flow tool telling you what happened, or what is coming?

A bank balance tells you the score after the game.

A rolling 13-week cash flow projection can tell you when you are likely to run short before it happens, which is the only version of that information that is actually useful. Looking at last month's transactions is cash flow history. It tells you what you can no longer change.

Real cash flow management means looking forward by week, and identifying potential shortfalls before they arrive. The tools to do this are available and priced for small businesses. Most accounting platforms have some version of this capability built in. The gap is usually not the software. It is the habit of looking forward consistently, on a set schedule, every week.

The 13-week projection is a standard used by lenders and financial advisors because it is long enough to see patterns but short enough to be actionable. It should be updated weekly, show cash coming in and going out by category, and flag any week where projected cash may drop below your defined floor.

A lot of small businesses have accounting software and still run into cash problems, because the software gets used to closing the books rather than looking ahead. The shift that tends to make the difference is treating the weekly cash review as a regular operating discipline; the same way you review sales.

5. Do you have a seasonal cash plan, or just a seasonal revenue expectation?

Most business owners can name their slow months.

Far fewer have mapped out the actual cash impact of those months, what happens to payroll coverage, vendor payments, debt service, and available credit during that period, week by week. Knowing a slow season is coming is not the same as being financially ready for it.

The gap between "I know Q1 is slow" and "I have a plan for how we fund Q1 operations" is where otherwise healthy businesses can run into serious trouble. Building that plan means looking at the next 12 months, identifying every period where cash may fall below a comfortable level, and deciding in advance how those gaps will be covered, whether through a line of credit, faster collections in the prior quarter, adjusted spending, or cash set aside during strong months.

One thing worth knowing about lines of credit: they tend to be easier to get, and less expensive, when the business looks healthy. A line applied for during a strong quarter is a very different conversation with a bank than one applied for when revenue is down. Building that credit relationship during good periods is part of seasonal planning, not an afterthought.

Building a seasonal cash plan also tends to surface a useful question: which costs are truly fixed, and which ones can actually be adjusted? Most service businesses carry high fixed costs and revenue that moves with the calendar. Having that conversation before the slow season, rather than during it, changes what options are available.

The common thread across all five of these is visibility

These questions are not a diagnostic. They are simply questions that do not get asked often enough — not because owners do not care about the answers, but because the day-to-day demands of running a business leave little room to step back and look at the bigger picture. 

Cash is king. But knowing how much cash a company has is not enough. Knowing how it is spent, when it is spent, and when more is coming in is what turns a bank balance into a business tool. That is what these questions are meant to help with — not to point out shortfalls, but to help owners find the visibility they need to run their business with more confidence and clarity. I hope this issue helps in some way.

Robb Thomas
Robb Thomas is a Seasoned Fractional CFO with over 25 years of hands-on experience across SaaS, healthcare, real estate, and service industries. He is the Author of The Fractional CFO Playbook a no cost copy of which can be downloaded here